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Toss-up · 2010 Governor
Connecticut Governor
In the 2010 Connecticut Governor race, Thomas C. Foley (R) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
R+1.7
Final polls said
D+2.1
9 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+2.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | R+2.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Quinnipiac University | R+3.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | MRG Research | EVEN | 1.7 | ✗ |
| 5 | YouGov | D+4.0 | 5.7 | ✗ |
| 6 | Big Village | D+8.0 | 9.7 | ✗ |
| 7 | Suffolk University | D+11.0 | 12.7 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
21 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-310
Quinnipiac University2010-10-281
Public Policy Polling2010-10-280
YouGov2010-10-276
MRG Research2010-10-252
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Connecticut Governor race?
Thomas C. Foley (R) won, by about 1.7 points (R+1.7).
When was the 2010 Connecticut Governor election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.