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Toss-up · 2010 Governor
Illinois Governor
In the 2010 Illinois Governor race, Pat Quinn (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.8
Final polls said
R+5.0
8 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Global Strategy Group | R+1.0 | 1.9 | ✗ |
| 2 | Big Village | R+2.0 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 3 | Market Shares Corp. | R+4.0 | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 4 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+4.0 | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 5 | Suffolk University | D+6.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | Public Policy Polling | R+5.0 | 5.8 | ✗ |
| 7 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+6.0 | 6.8 | ✗ |
| 8 | YouGov | R+7.3 | 8.2 | ✗ |
| 9 | Southern Illinois University Paul Simon Public Policy Institute | R+8.6 | 9.4 | ✗ |
| 10 | We Ask America | R+9.5 | 10.3 | ✗ |
| 11 | SurveyUSA | R+13.0 | 13.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
20 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-307
Public Policy Polling2010-10-306
YouGov2010-10-278
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-236
Market Shares Corp.2010-10-205
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Illinois Governor race?
Pat Quinn (D) won, by about 0.8 points (D+0.8).
When was the 2010 Illinois Governor election held?
It was held in November 2010.