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Toss-up · 2010 Governor
Illinois Governor
In the 2010 Illinois Governor race, Pat Quinn (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.8
Final polls said
R+5.0
8 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Global Strategy Group | R+1.0 | 1.9 | ✗ |
| 2 | Big Village | R+2.0 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 3 | Market Shares Corp. | R+4.0 | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 4 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+4.0 | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 5 | Suffolk University | D+6.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | Public Policy Polling | R+5.0 | 5.8 | ✗ |
| 7 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+6.0 | 6.8 | ✗ |
| 8 | YouGov | R+7.3 | 8.2 | ✗ |
| 9 | Southern Illinois University Paul Simon Public Policy Institute | R+8.6 | 9.4 | ✗ |
| 10 | We Ask America | R+9.5 | 10.3 | ✗ |
| 11 | SurveyUSA | R+13.0 | 13.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
20 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-307
Public Policy Polling2010-10-306
YouGov2010-10-278
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-236
Market Shares Corp.2010-10-205
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Illinois Governor race?
Pat Quinn (D) won, by about 0.8 points (D+0.8).
When was the 2010 Illinois Governor election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.