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Toss-up · 2010 Governor
Maryland Governor
In the 2010 Maryland Governor race, Martin O'Malley (D) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
D+14.5
Final polls said
D+12.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ABC News/The Washington Post | D+14.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | OpinionWorks | D+14.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+10.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | D+5.0 | 9.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-244
ABC News/The Washington Post2010-10-210
OpinionWorks2010-10-170
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc.2010-10-139
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-046
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Maryland Governor race?
Martin O'Malley (D) won, by about 14.5 points (D+14.5).
When was the 2010 Maryland Governor election held?
It was held in November 2010.