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Toss-up · 2010 Governor
New Mexico Governor
In the 2010 New Mexico Governor race, Susana Martinez (R) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
R+6.7
Final polls said
R+7.3
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+8.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | R+8.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Research & Polling Inc. | R+10.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+10.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | R+12.0 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | GQR | R+1.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research & Polling Inc.2010-10-273
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-243
GQR2010-10-226
Public Opinion Strategies2010-10-221
SurveyUSA2010-10-135
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 New Mexico Governor race?
Susana Martinez (R) won, by about 6.7 points (R+6.7).
When was the 2010 New Mexico Governor election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.