Actual result
R+20.9
Final polls said
R+18.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
R+19.2
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor | R+19.2 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | SoonerPoll.com | R+18.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+26.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
Polls (3)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoonerPoll.com | 2010-10-20 | 753 | R+18.0 | 3 |
| SoonerPoll.com | 2010-10-05 | 352 | R+16.0 | 5 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2010-09-23 | 500 | R+26.0 | 5 |