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Toss-up · 2010 Governor
Oregon Governor
In the 2010 Oregon Governor race, John Kitzhaber (D) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
D+1.5
Final polls said
D+1.4
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elway Research | D+1.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | D+1.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Riley Research Associates | D+1.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | DHM Research | D+3.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | Grove Insight | D+4.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+3.0 | 4.5 | ✗ |
| 7 | ccAdvertising | R+3.0 | 4.5 | ✗ |
| 8 | SurveyUSA | D+7.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
DHM Research2010-10-281
SurveyUSA2010-10-255
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-255
DHM Research2010-10-245
Grove Insight2010-10-232
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Oregon Governor race?
John Kitzhaber (D) won, by about 1.5 points (D+1.5).
When was the 2010 Oregon Governor election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.