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Toss-up · 2010 House
Arkansas House
In the 2010 Arkansas House race, Tim Griffin (R) won by about 20 points.
Actual result
R+19.6
Final polls said
R+15.1
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ccAdvertising | R+21.3 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Hendrix College | R+12.0 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | OnMessage Inc. | R+12.0 | 7.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Hendrix College2010-10-148
OnMessage Inc.2010-10-138
ccAdvertising2010-10-112
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Arkansas House race?
Tim Griffin (R) won, by about 19.6 points (R+19.6).
When was the 2010 Arkansas House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.