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Toss-up · 2010 House

California House

In the 2010 California House race, Jim Costa (D) won by about 3 points.

Actual result
D+3.4
Final polls said
R+2.0
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1Normington, Petts & AssociatesD+6.02.6✓
2SurveyUSAR+10.013.4✗
3ccAdvertisingR+23.326.7✗

The polls behind it

4 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
SurveyUSA2010-10-2313
Normington, Petts & Associates2010-10-233
ccAdvertising2010-09-2927
SurveyUSA2010-09-111

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2010 California House race?

Jim Costa (D) won, by about 3.4 points (D+3.4).

When was the 2010 California House election held?

It was held in November 2010.

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