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Toss-up · 2010 House
Connecticut House
In the 2010 Connecticut House race, Jim Himes (D) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
D+4.0
Final polls said
R+3.0
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MRG Research | R+2.0 | 6.0 | ✗ |
| 2 | National Research | R+4.0 | 8.0 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
MRG Research2010-10-256
National Research2010-10-178
MRG Research2010-10-042
National Research2010-09-274
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Connecticut House race?
Jim Himes (D) won, by about 4.0 points (D+4.0).
When was the 2010 Connecticut House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.