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Toss-up · 2010 House
Connecticut House
In the 2010 Connecticut House race, Christopher Murphy (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+7.1
Final polls said
R+4.5
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penta | D+14.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | MRG Research | R+8.0 | 15.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
MRG Research2010-10-3015
MRG Research2010-10-258
Penta2010-10-057
MRG Research2010-10-0413
Penta2010-09-206
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Connecticut House race?
Christopher Murphy (D) won, by about 7.1 points (D+7.1).
When was the 2010 Connecticut House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.