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Toss-up · 2010 House
Delaware House
In the 2010 Delaware House race, John C. Carney Jr. (D) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
D+15.7
Final polls said
D+12.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fairleigh Dickinson University | D+17.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of Delaware Center for Political Communication | D+17.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Grove Insight | D+18.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | ccAdvertising | D+12.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Policy Polling | D+11.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | D+7.0 | 8.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | WPA Intelligence | D+4.0 | 11.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Monmouth University Polling Institute2010-10-269
Fairleigh Dickinson University2010-10-231
Monmouth University Polling Institute2010-10-107
Fairleigh Dickinson University2010-09-301
WPA Intelligence2010-09-2712
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Delaware House race?
John C. Carney Jr. (D) won, by about 15.7 points (D+15.7).
When was the 2010 Delaware House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.