Actual result
R+9.6
Final polls said
R+1.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
D+1.6
✗
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | R+1.0 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor | D+1.6 | 11.1 | ✗ |
| 3 | GQR | D+7.0 | 16.6 | ✗ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | 2010-10-25 | 700 | R+1.0 | 9 |
| GQR | 2010-09-16 | 404 | D+7.0 | 17 |