Actual result
R+0.1
Final polls said
R+3.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
R+1.3
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor | R+1.3 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | We Ask America | R+3.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| We Ask America | 2010-10-31 | 773 | R+3.0 | 3 |
| We Ask America | 2010-09-28 | 442 | EVEN | 0 |