Actual result
D+1.3
Final polls said
D+5.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
D+6.4
✓
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EPIC-MRA | D+5.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor | D+6.4 | 5.0 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPIC-MRA | 2010-10-20 | 400 | D+5.0 | 4 |
| EPIC-MRA | 2010-10-02 | 400 | D+9.0 | 8 |