Actual result
D+21.1
Final polls said
D+13.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
D+14.2
✓
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor | D+14.2 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | EPIC-MRA | D+13.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPIC-MRA | 2010-10-20 | 400 | D+13.0 | 8 |
| EPIC-MRA | 2010-10-02 | 400 | D+17.0 | 4 |