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Toss-up · 2010 House
Minnesota House
In the 2010 Minnesota House race, Tim Walz (D) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
D+5.3
Final polls said
D+12.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+9.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Grove Insight | D+16.0 | 10.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2010-10-244
Grove Insight2010-10-1811
SurveyUSA2010-10-130
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Minnesota House race?
Tim Walz (D) won, by about 5.3 points (D+5.3).
When was the 2010 Minnesota House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.