Actual result
R+0.8
Final polls said
R+5.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
R+8.1
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+5.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor | R+8.1 | 7.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | ccAdvertising | R+18.0 | 17.2 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | 2010-10-23 | 400 | R+5.0 | 4 |
| ccAdvertising | 2010-10-14 | 2218 | R+18.0 | 17 |