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Toss-up · 2010 House
New Hampshire House
In the 2010 New Hampshire House race, Frank C. Guinta (R) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
R+11.6
Final polls said
R+6.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Research Group | R+10.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | R+7.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | ccAdvertising | R+6.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | PSB Research | R+5.0 | 6.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2010-10-295
ccAdvertising2010-10-216
PSB Research2010-10-117
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2010-10-090
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2010-09-262
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 New Hampshire House race?
Frank C. Guinta (R) won, by about 11.6 points (R+11.6).
When was the 2010 New Hampshire House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.