Actual result
D+28.4
Final polls said
D+41.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
D+36.4
✓
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor | D+36.4 | 8.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | D+41.0 | 12.6 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | 2010-10-20 | 400 | D+41.0 | 13 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2010-09-22 | 400 | D+35.0 | 7 |