Actual result
R+34.6
Final polls said
R+37.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
R+32.3
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor | R+32.3 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | R+37.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | 2010-10-20 | 400 | R+37.0 | 2 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2010-09-22 | 400 | R+34.0 | 1 |