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Toss-up · 2010 House
New Jersey House
In the 2010 New Jersey House race, Jon Runyan (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+2.7
Final polls said
R+2.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | R+3.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | R+5.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling | D+1.0 | 3.7 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Monmouth University Polling Institute2010-10-242
Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling2010-10-234
Zogby Analytics2010-10-200
Monmouth University Polling Institute2010-09-266
Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling2010-09-255
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 New Jersey House race?
Jon Runyan (R) won, by about 2.7 points (R+2.7).
When was the 2010 New Jersey House election held?
It was held in November 2010.