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Toss-up · 2010 House
New Jersey House
In the 2010 New Jersey House race, Jon Runyan (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+2.7
Final polls said
R+2.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | R+3.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | R+5.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling | D+1.0 | 3.7 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Monmouth University Polling Institute2010-10-242
Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling2010-10-234
Zogby Analytics2010-10-200
Monmouth University Polling Institute2010-09-266
Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling2010-09-255
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 New Jersey House race?
Jon Runyan (R) won, by about 2.7 points (R+2.7).
When was the 2010 New Jersey House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.