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Toss-up · 2010 House
New Mexico House
In the 2010 New Mexico House race, Stevan Pearce (R) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
R+10.8
Final polls said
R+10.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tarrance Group | R+9.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | PSB Research | R+4.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Research & Polling Inc. | R+3.0 | 7.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | ccAdvertising | R+20.1 | 9.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Policy Polling | R+1.0 | 9.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | Impact Research | D+7.0 | 17.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research & Polling Inc.2010-10-278
Tarrance Group2010-10-192
ccAdvertising2010-10-189
Research & Polling Inc.2010-09-2910
PSB Research2010-09-297
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 New Mexico House race?
Stevan Pearce (R) won, by about 10.8 points (R+10.8).
When was the 2010 New Mexico House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.