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Toss-up · 2010 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2010 Pennsylvania House race, Lou Barletta (R) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
R+9.4
Final polls said
D+1.5
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ccAdvertising | R+11.8 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | R+7.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | PSB Research | R+5.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Digital Research | D+8.0 | 17.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Digital Research2010-10-2417
PSB Research2010-10-204
Digital Research2010-10-107
ccAdvertising2010-10-072
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research2010-10-072
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Pennsylvania House race?
Lou Barletta (R) won, by about 9.4 points (R+9.4).
When was the 2010 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.