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Toss-up · 2010 House

Pennsylvania House

In the 2010 Pennsylvania House race, Thomas Timothy Holden (D) won by about 11 points.

Actual result
D+11.0
Final polls said
D+30.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
Winner
Dem

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1ccAdvertisingD+3.97.1
2Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.D+30.019.0

The polls behind it

2 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.2010-10-1919
ccAdvertising2010-10-077

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2010 Pennsylvania House race?

Thomas Timothy Holden (D) won, by about 11.0 points (D+11.0).

When was the 2010 Pennsylvania House election held?

It was held in November 2010.

Which party matches you?

These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.

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