Actual result
R+49.4
Final polls said
R+48.0
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
R+43.0
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Jones & Associates | R+51.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+45.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | VotePredictor | R+43.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
Polls (3)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Jones & Associates | 2010-10-27 | 375 | R+51.0 | 2 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2010-10-26 | 400 | R+45.0 | 4 |
| Dan Jones & Associates | 2010-10-12 | 442 | R+48.0 | 1 |