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Toss-up · 2010 House
Virginia House
In the 2010 Virginia House race, Robert Hurt (R) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
R+3.8
Final polls said
R+4.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+3.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research | R+6.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Benenson Strategy Group | R+1.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | PSB Research | R+1.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | R+8.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Opinion Strategies2010-10-301
SurveyUSA2010-10-274
Benenson Strategy Group2010-10-193
SurveyUSA2010-10-107
Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research2010-10-092
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Virginia House race?
Robert Hurt (R) won, by about 3.8 points (R+3.8).
When was the 2010 Virginia House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.