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Toss-up · 2010 House
Wisconsin House
In the 2010 Wisconsin House race, Sean Duffy (R) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
R+7.7
Final polls said
R+7.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | We Ask America | R+7.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | PSB Research | R+9.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+13.0 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+14.0 | 6.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | R+1.0 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | ccAdvertising | R+15.9 | 8.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
We Ask America2010-10-181
ccAdvertising2010-10-068
PSB Research2010-10-041
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2010-09-267
Public Opinion Strategies2010-09-215
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Wisconsin House race?
Sean Duffy (R) won, by about 7.7 points (R+7.7).
When was the 2010 Wisconsin House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.