← all past elections
Toss-up · 2010 Senate
Arizona Senate
In the 2010 Arizona Senate race, John McCain (R) won by about 24 points.
Actual result
R+24.2
Final polls said
R+19.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+20.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | R+18.0 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) | R+34.0 | 9.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-284
Public Policy Polling2010-10-236
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll)2010-10-0510
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-033
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-09-0710
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Arizona Senate race?
John McCain (R) won, by about 24.2 points (R+24.2).
When was the 2010 Arizona Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.