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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
Connecticut Senate
In the 2010 Connecticut Senate race, Richard Blumenthal (D) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
D+9.3
Final polls said
D+11.0
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quinnipiac University | D+9.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | D+9.9 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | MRG Research | D+8.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | D+11.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+7.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | Big Village | D+13.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | GQR | D+15.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 8 | EMC Research | D+15.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 9 | Suffolk University | D+18.0 | 8.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
23 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-312
Quinnipiac University2010-10-280
Public Policy Polling2010-10-282
YouGov2010-10-271
MRG Research2010-10-251
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Connecticut Senate race?
Richard Blumenthal (D) won, by about 9.3 points (D+9.3).
When was the 2010 Connecticut Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.