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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
Illinois Senate
In the 2010 Illinois Senate race, Mark Kirk (R) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
R+1.6
Final polls said
R+1.1
12 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+2.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Suffolk University | R+1.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | We Ask America | R+2.3 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Southern Illinois University Paul Simon Public Policy Institute | R+0.5 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Market Shares Corp. | R+3.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | Public Policy Polling | R+4.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 7 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+4.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 8 | Big Village | D+1.0 | 2.6 | ✗ |
| 9 | Impact Research | D+2.0 | 3.6 | ✗ |
| 10 | YouGov | D+2.7 | 4.3 | ✗ |
| 11 | GQR | D+3.0 | 4.6 | ✗ |
| 12 | Global Strategy Group | D+3.0 | 4.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
25 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2010-10-302
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-302
YouGov2010-10-274
Impact Research2010-10-274
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-262
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Illinois Senate race?
Mark Kirk (R) won, by about 1.6 points (R+1.6).
When was the 2010 Illinois Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.