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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
Kansas Senate
In the 2010 Kansas Senate race, Jerry Moran (R) won by about 44 points.
Actual result
R+43.7
Final polls said
R+40.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+40.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2010-10-244
SurveyUSA2010-10-114
SurveyUSA2010-09-152
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Kansas Senate race?
Jerry Moran (R) won, by about 43.7 points (R+43.7).
When was the 2010 Kansas Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.