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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
Kentucky Senate
In the 2010 Kentucky Senate race, Rand Paul (R) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
R+11.5
Final polls said
R+7.9
11 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+12.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+9.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | R+8.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | R+15.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | Braun Research | R+7.5 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | Big Village | R+7.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+5.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | Benenson Strategy Group | R+3.0 | 8.5 | ✓ |
| 9 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+2.0 | 13.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
19 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2010-10-294
YouGov2010-10-273
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-271
Braun Research2010-10-264
SurveyUSA2010-10-262
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Kentucky Senate race?
Rand Paul (R) won, by about 11.5 points (R+11.5).
When was the 2010 Kentucky Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.