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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
Maryland Senate
In the 2010 Maryland Senate race, Barbara A. Mikulski (D) won by about 26 points.
Actual result
D+26.4
Final polls said
D+27.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OpinionWorks | D+27.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+18.0 | 8.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | D+17.0 | 9.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | ABC News/The Washington Post | D+37.0 | 10.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-248
ABC News/The Washington Post2010-10-2111
OpinionWorks2010-10-171
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc.2010-10-139
ABC News/The Washington Post2010-09-246
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Maryland Senate race?
Barbara A. Mikulski (D) won, by about 26.4 points (D+26.4).
When was the 2010 Maryland Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.