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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
Maryland Senate
In the 2010 Maryland Senate race, Barbara A. Mikulski (D) won by about 26 points.
Actual result
D+26.4
Final polls said
D+27.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OpinionWorks | D+27.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+18.0 | 8.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | D+17.0 | 9.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | ABC News/The Washington Post | D+37.0 | 10.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-248
ABC News/The Washington Post2010-10-2111
OpinionWorks2010-10-171
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc.2010-10-139
ABC News/The Washington Post2010-09-246
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Maryland Senate race?
Barbara A. Mikulski (D) won, by about 26.4 points (D+26.4).
When was the 2010 Maryland Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.