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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
New Hampshire Senate
In the 2010 New Hampshire Senate race, Kelly Ayotte (R) won by about 23 points.
Actual result
R+23.2
Final polls said
R+17.7
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ccAdvertising | R+22.7 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | R+18.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | R+15.0 | 8.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+15.0 | 8.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | American Research Group | R+5.0 | 18.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2010-10-295
Public Policy Polling2010-10-288
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-278
ccAdvertising2010-10-211
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-1016
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 New Hampshire Senate race?
Kelly Ayotte (R) won, by about 23.2 points (R+23.2).
When was the 2010 New Hampshire Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.