Actual result
R+44.5
Final polls said
R+41.0
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
R+39.0
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+42.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | SoonerPoll.com | R+40.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | VotePredictor | R+39.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoonerPoll.com | 2010-10-05 | 352 | R+40.0 | 5 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2010-09-23 | 500 | R+42.0 | 3 |