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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
Utah Senate
In the 2010 Utah Senate race, Mike Lee (R) won by about 29 points.
Actual result
R+28.8
Final polls said
R+21.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Jones & Associates | R+27.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+33.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+16.0 | 12.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Dan Jones & Associates2010-10-272
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2010-10-2613
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-134
Dan Jones & Associates2010-10-137
Dan Jones & Associates2010-09-102
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Utah Senate race?
Mike Lee (R) won, by about 28.8 points (R+28.8).
When was the 2010 Utah Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.