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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
Washington Senate
In the 2010 Washington Senate race, Patty Murray (D) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
D+4.7
Final polls said
D+1.5
10 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of Washington Center for Survey Research | D+6.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | D+2.7 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+2.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Big Village | D+8.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | Marist College | D+1.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | ccAdvertising | D+0.2 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | SurveyUSA | EVEN | 4.7 | ✗ |
| 8 | Public Policy Polling | R+2.0 | 6.7 | ✗ |
| 9 | Elway Research | D+15.0 | 10.3 | ✓ |
| 10 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/McLaughlin & Associates | R+6.0 | 10.7 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
24 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-303
Public Policy Polling2010-10-307
YouGov2010-10-272
Marist College2010-10-274
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-276
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Washington Senate race?
Patty Murray (D) won, by about 4.7 points (D+4.7).
When was the 2010 Washington Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.