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Toss-up · 2012 Governor
Indiana Governor
In the 2012 Indiana Governor race, Mike Pence (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+2.9
Final polls said
R+7.4
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clarity Campaign Labs | R+3.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Benenson Strategy Group | R+6.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Howey Politics/DePauw University | R+7.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | The Polling Company Inc. | R+9.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | YouGov | R+11.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+12.0 | 9.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
McLaughlin & Associates2012-10-319
Howey Politics/DePauw University2012-10-294
The Polling Company Inc.2012-10-276
Clarity Campaign Labs2012-10-250
Benenson Strategy Group2012-10-203
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Indiana Governor race?
Mike Pence (R) won, by about 2.9 points (R+2.9).
When was the 2012 Indiana Governor election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.