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Toss-up · 2012 Governor
Montana Governor
In the 2012 Montana Governor race, Steve Bullock (D) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
D+1.6
Final polls said
D+1.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | EVEN | 1.6 | ✗ |
| 2 | Montana State University Billings | R+2.2 | 3.8 | ✗ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+3.0 | 4.6 | ✗ |
| 4 | Mellman Group | D+7.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2012-11-022
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2012-10-305
Mellman Group2012-10-305
Public Policy Polling2012-10-093
Montana State University Billings2012-09-294
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Montana Governor race?
Steve Bullock (D) won, by about 1.6 points (D+1.6).
When was the 2012 Montana Governor election held?
It was held in November 2012.