← all past elections
Toss-up · 2012 Governor
Montana Governor
In the 2012 Montana Governor race, Steve Bullock (D) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
D+1.6
Final polls said
D+1.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | EVEN | 1.6 | ✗ |
| 2 | Montana State University Billings | R+2.2 | 3.8 | ✗ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+3.0 | 4.6 | ✗ |
| 4 | Mellman Group | D+7.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2012-11-022
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2012-10-305
Mellman Group2012-10-305
Public Policy Polling2012-10-093
Montana State University Billings2012-09-294
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Montana Governor race?
Steve Bullock (D) won, by about 1.6 points (D+1.6).
When was the 2012 Montana Governor election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.