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Toss-up · 2012 House
Arizona House
In the 2012 Arizona House race, Ron Barber (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.8
Final polls said
D+7.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OnMessage Inc. | EVEN | 0.8 | ✗ |
| 2 | Grove Insight | D+14.0 | 13.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
OnMessage Inc.2012-09-301
Grove Insight2012-09-2913
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Arizona House race?
Ron Barber (D) won, by about 0.8 points (D+0.8).
When was the 2012 Arizona House election held?
It was held in November 2012.