← all past elections
Toss-up · 2012 House
Arizona House
In the 2012 Arizona House race, Ron Barber (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+6.9
Final polls said
D+12.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+12.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstEach pollster name links to the poll's source; the grade under it is its VotePredictor grade from past elections. Margin is the poll as published. The ± under the sample size is the 95% margin of error on each candidate's share, from the sample size (the gap between them is about twice as uncertain).
PollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy PollingGrade A-06-092012-06-095
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Arizona House race?
Ron Barber (D) won, by about 6.9 points (D+6.9).
When was the 2012 Arizona House election held?
It was held in November 2012.