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Toss-up · 2012 House
California House
In the 2012 California House race, David G. Valadao (R) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
R+15.5
Final polls said
R+12.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moore Information Group | R+20.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | FM3 Research | R+4.0 | 11.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
FM3 Research2012-10-1412
Moore Information Group2012-10-084
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 California House race?
David G. Valadao (R) won, by about 15.5 points (R+15.5).
When was the 2012 California House election held?
It was held in November 2012.