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Toss-up · 2012 House
California House
In the 2012 California House race, Scott Peters (D) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
D+2.4
Final polls said
R+3.2
5 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | EVEN | 2.4 | ✗ |
| 2 | Grove Insight | D+5.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Tarrance Group | R+4.0 | 6.4 | ✗ |
| 4 | Remington Research Group | R+8.0 | 10.4 | ✗ |
| 5 | Glover Park Group | R+9.0 | 11.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2012-10-292
Remington Research Group2012-10-2210
Grove Insight2012-10-203
Tarrance Group2012-10-176
Glover Park Group2012-10-1611
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 California House race?
Scott Peters (D) won, by about 2.4 points (D+2.4).
When was the 2012 California House election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.