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Toss-up · 2012 House
California House
In the 2012 California House race, Scott Peters (D) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
D+2.4
Final polls said
R+3.2
5 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | EVEN | 2.4 | ✗ |
| 2 | Grove Insight | D+5.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Tarrance Group | R+4.0 | 6.4 | ✗ |
| 4 | Remington Research Group | R+8.0 | 10.4 | ✗ |
| 5 | Glover Park Group | R+9.0 | 11.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2012-10-292
Remington Research Group2012-10-2210
Grove Insight2012-10-203
Tarrance Group2012-10-176
Glover Park Group2012-10-1611
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 California House race?
Scott Peters (D) won, by about 2.4 points (D+2.4).
When was the 2012 California House election held?
It was held in November 2012.