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Toss-up · 2012 House
California House
In the 2012 California House race, Jerry McNerney (D) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
D+11.1
Final polls said
D+4.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Global Strategy Group | D+9.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Tarrance Group | R+1.0 | 12.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Global Strategy Group2012-10-092
Tarrance Group2012-10-0112
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 California House race?
Jerry McNerney (D) won, by about 11.1 points (D+11.1).
When was the 2012 California House election held?
It was held in November 2012.