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Toss-up · 2012 House
Florida House
In the 2012 Florida House race, Joe Garcia (D) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
D+10.6
Final polls said
R+2.5
1 late poll · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benenson Strategy Group | D+11.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | McLaughlin & Associates | D+10.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | GBAO | D+9.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | D+7.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | St. Pete Polls | R+2.5 | 13.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
St. Pete Polls2012-10-1613
Benenson Strategy Group2012-10-100
St. Pete Polls2012-10-0414
McLaughlin & Associates2012-09-251
Public Policy Polling2012-09-124
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Florida House race?
Joe Garcia (D) won, by about 10.6 points (D+10.6).
When was the 2012 Florida House election held?
It was held in November 2012.