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Toss-up · 2012 House
Florida House
In the 2012 Florida House race, Joe Garcia (D) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
D+10.6
Final polls said
R+2.5
1 late poll · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benenson Strategy Group | D+11.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | McLaughlin & Associates | D+10.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | GBAO | D+9.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | D+7.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | St. Pete Polls | R+2.5 | 13.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
St. Pete Polls2012-10-1613
Benenson Strategy Group2012-10-100
St. Pete Polls2012-10-0414
McLaughlin & Associates2012-09-251
Public Policy Polling2012-09-124
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Florida House race?
Joe Garcia (D) won, by about 10.6 points (D+10.6).
When was the 2012 Florida House election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.