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Toss-up · 2012 House
Illinois House
In the 2012 Illinois House race, Brad Schneider (D) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
D+1.3
Final polls said
R+7.2
1 late poll · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | D+1.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | We Ask America | R+7.2 | 8.5 | ✗ |
| 3 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+10.0 | 11.3 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
We Ask America2012-10-288
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department2012-10-140
McLaughlin & Associates2012-10-1111
We Ask America2012-10-093
McLaughlin & Associates2012-09-118
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Illinois House race?
Brad Schneider (D) won, by about 1.3 points (D+1.3).
When was the 2012 Illinois House election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.