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Toss-up · 2012 House

Illinois House

In the 2012 Illinois House race, Brad Schneider (D) won by about 1 point.

Actual result
D+1.3
Final polls said
R+7.2
1 late poll · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1DCCC Targeting and Analytics DepartmentD+1.00.3✓
2We Ask AmericaR+7.28.5✗
3McLaughlin & AssociatesR+10.011.3✗

The polls behind it

5 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
We Ask America2012-10-288
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department2012-10-140
McLaughlin & Associates2012-10-1111
We Ask America2012-10-093
McLaughlin & Associates2012-09-118

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2012 Illinois House race?

Brad Schneider (D) won, by about 1.3 points (D+1.3).

When was the 2012 Illinois House election held?

It was held in November 2012.

Which party matches you?

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