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Toss-up · 2012 House
Illinois House
In the 2012 Illinois House race, Bill Foster (D) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
D+17.1
Final polls said
D+2.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | D+4.0 | 13.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | We Ask America | EVEN | 17.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
We Ask America2012-10-2817
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2012-10-1713
We Ask America2012-10-1019
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Illinois House race?
Bill Foster (D) won, by about 17.1 points (D+17.1).
When was the 2012 Illinois House election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.