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Toss-up · 2012 House
Maine House
In the 2012 Maine House race, Michael H. Michaud (D) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
D+16.4
Final polls said
D+12.4
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kimball Political Consulting | D+14.1 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Digital Research | D+19.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Pan Atlantic Research | D+20.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+25.0 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Maine People's Resource Center | D+4.0 | 12.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Maine People's Resource Center2012-11-0212
Kimball Political Consulting2012-10-302
Digital Research2012-10-303
Normington, Petts & Associates2012-10-089
Pan Atlantic Research2012-09-264
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Maine House race?
Michael H. Michaud (D) won, by about 16.4 points (D+16.4).
When was the 2012 Maine House election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.