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Toss-up · 2012 House
Michigan House
In the 2012 Michigan House race, Dan Benishek (R) won by less than a point.
Actual result
R+0.5
Final polls said
D+4.7
3 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+2.0 | 2.5 | ✗ |
| 2 | Benenson Strategy Group | D+3.0 | 3.5 | ✗ |
| 3 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | D+9.0 | 9.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Benenson Strategy Group2012-09-304
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2012-09-1910
Public Policy Polling2012-09-183
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Michigan House race?
Dan Benishek (R) won, by about 0.5 points (R+0.5).
When was the 2012 Michigan House election held?
It was held in November 2012.