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Toss-up · 2012 House
Montana House
In the 2012 Montana House race, Steve Daines (R) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
R+10.5
Final polls said
R+7.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+11.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Montana State University Billings | R+13.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | R+4.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Mellman Group | R+2.0 | 8.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2012-11-027
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2012-10-300
Public Policy Polling2012-10-092
Montana State University Billings2012-09-292
Mellman Group2012-09-259
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Montana House race?
Steve Daines (R) won, by about 10.5 points (R+10.5).
When was the 2012 Montana House election held?
It was held in November 2012.